Essentials of Modern Business Statistics 7th Edition Chapter 1
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Contents vii
Brief Contents
Preface xxi
About the Authors xxix
Chapter 1 Data and Statistics 1
Chapter 2 Descriptive Statistics: Tabular and Graphical
Presentations 31
Chapter 3 Descriptive Statistics: Numerical Measures 86
Chapter 4 Introduction to Probability 148
Chapter 5 Discrete Probability Distributions 193
Chapter 6 Continuous Probability Distributions 232
Chapter 7 Sampling and Sampling Distributions 265
Chapter 8 Interval Estimation 304
Chapter 9 Hypothesis Tests 344
Chapter 10 Comparisons Involving Means, Experimental Design,
and Analysis of Variance 392
Chapter 11 Comparisons Involving Proportions and a Test
of Independence 448
Chapter 12 Simple Linear Regression 483
Chapter 13 Multiple Regression 552
Appendix A References and Bibliography 602
Appendix B Tables 604
Appendix C Summation Notation 631
Appendix D Self-Test Solutions and Answers to Even-Numbered
Exercises 633
Appendix E Using Excel Functions 665
Appendix F Computing p-Values Using Minitab and Excel 670
Index 674
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Contents
Preface xxi
About the Authors xxix
Chapter 1 Data and Statistics 1
Statistics in Practice: Businessweek 2
1.1 Applications in Business and Economics 3
Accounting 3
Finance 4
Marketing 4
Production 4
Economics 4
1.2 Data 5
Elements, Variables, and Observations 5
Scales of Measurement 6
Categorical and Quantitative Data 7
Cross-Sectional and Time Series Data 7
1.3 Data Sources 10
Existing Sources 10
Statistical Studies 11
Data Acquisition Errors 13
1.4 Descriptive Statistics 13
1.5 Statistical Inference 15
1.6 Computers and Statistical Analysis 17
1.7 Data Mining 17
1.8 Ethical Guidelines for Statistical Practice 18
Summary 20
Glossary 20
Supplementary Exercises 21
Appendix An Introduction to StatTools 28
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x Contents
Chapter 2 Descriptive Statistics: Tabular and Graphical
Presentations 31
Statistics in Practice: Colgate-Palmolive Company 32
2.1 Summarizing Categorical Data 33
Frequency Distribution 33
Relative Frequency and Percent Frequency Distributions 34
Bar Charts and Pie Charts 34
2.2 Summarizing Quantitative Data 39
Frequency Distribution 39
Relative Frequency and Percent Frequency Distributions 41
Dot Plot 41
Histogram 42
Cumulative Distributions 44
Ogive 44
2.3 Exploratory Data Analysis: The Stem-and-Leaf Display 49
2.4 Crosstabulations and Scatter Diagrams 54
Crosstabulation 54
Simpson's Paradox 57
Scatter Diagram and Trendline 58
Summary 64
Glossary 65
Key Formulas 66
Supplementary Exercises 66
Case Problem 1: Pelican Stores 72
Case Problem 2: Motion Picture Industry 73
Appendix 2.1 Tabular and Graphical Presentations Using Minitab 74
Appendix 2.2 Tabular and Graphical Presentations Using Excel 76
Appendix 2.3 Tabular and Graphical Presentations Using StatTools 85
Chapter 3 Descriptive Statistics: Numerical Measures 86
Statistics in Practice: Small Fry Design 87
3.1 Measures of Location 88
Mean 88
Median 89
Mode 90
Percentiles 91
Quartiles 92
3.2 Measures of Variability 96
Range 97
Interquartile Range 97
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Contents xi
Variance 98
Standard Deviation 100
Coefficient of Variation 100
3.3 Measures of Distribution Shape, Relative Location, and Detection of
Outliers 103
Distribution Shape 103
z-Scores 104
Chebyshev's Theorem 105
Empirical Rule 106
Detection of Outliers 107
3.4 Exploratory Data Analysis 110
Five-Number Summary 110
Box Plot 111
3.5 Measures of Association Between Two Variables 116
Covariance 116
Interpretation of the Covariance 118
Correlation Coefficient 120
Interpretation of the Correlation Coefficient 121
3.6 The Weighted Mean and Working with Grouped Data 125
Weighted Mean 125
Grouped Data 126
Summary 131
Glossary 131
Key Formulas 133
Supplementary Exercises 134
Case Problem 1: Pelican Stores 138
Case Problem 2: Motion Picture Industry 140
Case Problem 3: Heavenly Chocolates Website Transactions 140
Appendix 3.1 Descriptive Statistics Using Minitab 141
Appendix 3.2 Descriptive Statistics Using Excel 143
Appendix 3.3 Descriptive Statistics Using StatTools 146
Chapter 4 Introduction to Probability 148
Statistics in Practice: Oceanwide Seafood 149
4.1 Experiments, Counting Rules, and Assigning Probabilities 150
Counting Rules, Combinations, and Permutations 151
Assigning Probabilities 155
Probabilities for the KP&L Project 157
4.2 Events and Their Probabilities 160
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xii Contents
4.3 Some Basic Relationships of Probability 164
Complement of an Event 164
Addition Law 165
4.4 Conditional Probability 171
Independent Events 174
Multiplication Law 174
4.5 Bayes' Theorem 178
Tabular Approach 182
Summary 184
Glossary 184
Key Formulas 185
Supplementary Exercises 186
Case Problem: Hamilton County Judges 190
Chapter 5 Discrete Probability Distributions 193
Statistics in Practice: Citibank 194
5.1 Random Variables 194
Discrete Random Variables 195
Continuous Random Variables 196
5.2 Discrete Probability Distributions 197
5.3 Expected Value and Variance 202
Expected Value 202
Variance 203
5.4 Binomial Probability Distribution 207
A Binomial Experiment 208
Martin Clothing Store Problem 209
Using Tables of Binomial Probabilities 213
Expected Value and Variance for the Binomial Distribution 214
5.5 Poisson Probability Distribution 218
An Example Involving Time Intervals 218
An Example Involving Length or Distance Intervals 220
5.6 Hypergeometric Probability Distribution 221
Summary 225
Glossary 226
Key Formulas 226
Supplementary Exercises 227
Appendix 5.1 Discrete Probability Distributions Using Minitab 230
Appendix 5.2 Discrete Probability Distributions Using Excel 230
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Contents xiii
Chapter 6 Continuous Probability Distributions 232
Statistics in Practice: Procter & Gamble 233
6.1 Uniform Probability Distribution 234
Area as a Measure of Probability 235
6.2 Normal Probability Distribution 238
Normal Curve 238
Standard Normal Probability Distribution 240
Computing Probabilities for Any Normal Probability Distribution 245
Grear Tire Company Problem 246
6.3 Normal Approximation of Binomial Probabilities 250
6.4 Exponential Probability Distribution 254
Computing Probabilities for the Exponential Distribution 254
Relationship Between the Poisson and Exponential Distributions 255
Summary 257
Glossary 258
Key Formulas 258
Supplementary Exercises 259
Case Problem: Specialty Toys 262
Appendix 6.1 Continuous Probability Distributions Using Minitab 263
Appendix 6.2 Continuous Probability Distributions Using Excel 263
Chapter 7 Sampling and Sampling Distributions 265
Statistics in Practice: Meadwestvaco Corporation 266
7.1 The Electronics Associates Sampling Problem 267
7.2 Selecting a Sample 268
Sampling from a Finite Population 268
Sampling from an Infinite Population 270
7.3 Point Estimation 273
Practical Advice 275
7.4 Introduction to Sampling Distributions 276
7.5 Sampling Distribution of
–
x 278
Expected Value of
–
x 279
Standard Deviation of
–
x 280
Form of the Sampling Distribution of
–
x 281
Sampling Distribution of
–
x for the EAI Problem 283
Practical Value of the Sampling Distribution of
–
x 283
Relationship Between the Sample Size and the Sampling
Distribution of
–
x 285
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xiv Contents
7.6 Sampling Distribution of
–
p 289
Expected Value of
–
p 289
Standard Deviation of
–
p 290
Form of the Sampling Distribution of
–
p 291
Practical Value of the Sampling Distribution of
–
p 291
7.7 Other Sampling Methods 295
Stratified Random Sampling 295
Cluster Sampling 295
Systematic Sampling 296
Convenience Sampling 296
Judgment Sampling 297
Summary 297
Glossary 298
Key Formulas 299
Supplementary Exercises 299
Appendix 7.1 Random Sampling Using Minitab 301
Appendix 7.2 Random Sampling Using Excel 302
Appendix 7.3 Random Sampling Using StatTools 302
Chapter 8 Interval Estimation 304
Statistics in Practice: Food Lion 305
8.1 Population Mean: Known 306
Margin of Error and the Interval Estimate 306
Practical Advice 310
8.2 Population Mean: Unknown 312
Margin of Error and the Interval Estimate 313
Practical Advice 316
Using a Small Sample 316
Summary of Interval Estimation Procedures 318
8.3 Determining the Sample Size 321
8.4 Population Proportion 324
Determining the Sample Size 326
Summary 329
Glossary 330
Key Formulas 331
Supplementary Exercises 331
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Contents xv
Case Problem 1: Young Professional Magazine 334
Case Problem 2: Gulf Real Estate Properties 335
Case Problem 3: Metropolitan Research, Inc. 337
Appendix 8.1 Interval Estimation Using Minitab 338
Appendix 8.2 Interval Estimation Using Excel 339
Appendix 8.3 Interval Estimation Using StatTools 341
Chapter 9 Hypothesis Tests 344
Statistics in Practice: John Morrell & Company 345
9.1 Developing Null and Alternative Hypotheses 346
The Alternative Hypothesis as a Research Hypothesis 346
The Null Hypothesis as an Assumption to Be Challenged 347
Summary of Forms for Null and Alternative Hypotheses 348
9.2 Type I and Type II Errors 349
9.3 Population Mean: Known 352
One-Tailed Test 352
Two-Tailed Test 358
Summary and Practical Advice 361
Relationship Between Interval Estimation and Hypothesis Testing 362
9.4 Population Mean: Unknown 367
One-Tailed Test 367
Two-Tailed Test 368
Summary and Practical Advice 370
9.5 Population Proportion 373
Summary 375
Summary 378
Glossary 378
Key Formulas 379
Supplementary Exercises 379
Case Problem 1: Quality Associates, Inc. 382
Case Problem 2: Ethical Behavior of Business Students at Bayview
Universtiy 383
Appendix 9.1 Hypothesis Testing Using Minitab 385
Appendix 9.2 Hypothesis Testing Using Excel 386
Appendix 9.3 Hypothesis Testing Using StatTools 391
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xvi Contents
Chapter 10 Comparisons Involving Means, Experimental Design,
and Analysis of Variance 392
Statistics in Practice: U.S. Food and Drug Administration 393
10.1 Inferences About the Difference Between Two Population Means:
1
and
2
Known 394
Interval Estimation of
1
⫺
2
394
Hypothesis Tests About
1
⫺
2
397
Practical Advice 398
10.2 Inferences About the Difference Between Two Population Means:
1
and
2
Unknown 401
Interval Estimation of
1
⫺
2
401
Hypothesis Tests About
1
⫺
2
403
Practical Advice 405
10.3 Inferences About the Difference Between Two Population Means:
Matched Samples 409
10.4 An Introduction to Experimental Design and Analysis of
Variance 414
Data Collection 416
Assumptions for Analysis of Variance 417
Analysis of Variance: A Conceptual Overview 417
10.5 Analysis of Variance and the Completely Randomized
Design 420
Between-Treatments Estimate of Population Variance 421
Within-Treatments Estimate of Population Variance 422
Comparing the Variance Estimates: The F Test 423
ANOVA Table 424
Computer Results for Analysis of Variance 425
Testing for the Equality of k Population Means: An Observational
Study 427
Summary 431
Glossary 431
Key Formulas 431
Supplementary Exercises 433
Case Problem 1: Par, Inc. 438
Case Problem 2: Wentworth Medical Center 438
Case Problem 3 Compensation for Sales Professionals 439
Appendix 10.1 Inferences About Two Populations Using Minitab 440
Appendix 10.2 Analysis of Variance Using Minitab 442
Appendix 10.3 Inferences About Two Populations Using Excel 442
Appendix 10.4 Analysis of Variance Using Excel 443
Appendix 10.5 Inferences About Two Populations Using StatTools 444
Appendix 10.6 Analysis of Variance Using StatTools 446
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Essentials of Modern Business Statistics 7th Edition Chapter 1
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